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Shanghai demographic analysis and economy overview

 

Shanghai is the largest city in China in terms of population. Despite the consecutive years of deaths outnumbering births, total population has grown by 3.8% from 13.3 million in 2001 to 13.8 million in 2007. The increase was due to outsiders obtaining city registrations mainly by entering a university in the city or marrying someone in the city. As a characteristic of a developed city, young people in Shanghai are not willing to give birth due to family planning and high living costs. The city also faces the problem of ageing population.

 

Below is the chart of Shanghai total population and trends from year 2001 - 2011:

 

 

 

Shanghai is the industrial, financial, and commercial center of China. Its key industries include: automotive, electronics, telecommunications, machinery, textiles, iron and steel, and petrochemicals. Other thriving industries, particularly the service industries, contribute to growth of Shanghai's economy. In recent years, the financial market system has gradually matured, providing enhanced services. In addition, domestic and international trade has developed rapidly. Nominal GDP of Shanghai city has more than doubled from 495.1 RMB to 1218.9 RMB billion in 2007. Currently, Shanghai contributes about 8.3% to China's gross industrial output value, 10% ports' cargo-throughput, 25% of the total value of the country's imports and exports and 12.5% of the total revenue of China, reflecting the vital role in China’s economy.

 

Below is the chart of nominal GDP and trends of Shanghai city from year 2001 - 2011:

 

 

Shanghai’s nominal GDP per capita has risen from 37, 305 RMB in 2001 to 88, 398 RMB in 2007. The trend is expected to carry on as Shanghai plans to enhance its economy by approximately 67% over the next five years while achieving an improved economic structure, rising level of efficiency and taking environment protection into consideration.

 

Below is the chart of Shanghai nominal GDP per capita and trends from year 2001 - 2011:

 

 

Shanghai’s government finance revenue has increased by 3.3 times from 62 RMB billion in 2001 to 207 RMB billion in 2007. In 2005, Shanghai's fiscal revenue increase in the tertiary industry is more than that of the secondary industry by at least 10%; this is largely attributed to the rapid development of the service sector. Corporate and personal income taxes recorded a larger growth rate relative to value-added and business taxes. The service sector will maintain its growth rate and at the same time, contributing to the increasing fiscal revenue.

 

Below is the chart of Shanghai government finance revenue and trends from year 2001 - 2011:

 

Shanghai government finance revenue

 

Total investments in Shanghai has doubled from 199 RMB billion in 2001 to 446 RMB billion in 2007. Emerging sectors to in Shanghai include: IT, telecommunications services, transportation infrastructure, distribution services, environmental technologies, construction materials etc. Shanghai is able to receive preferential treatment from the central government, particularly as an incubator for reforms and pilot projects. This would serve as incentives to attract investors to the city. However, one major concern that plagues investors would be the rising operating costs that they would need to face. This has lead to companies shifting production out of Shanghai. This trend would be expected in the future as investors look for similar alternative investment landscapes which would be prevalent in the future, as many parts of China further developed their respective economies. Comparing between other cities with lower costs, the rising costs would be a major issue that lead will to a decrease in investments in fixed assets, as Shanghai faces competition from other emerging cities.

 

Below is the chart of Shanghai total investments in fixed assets and trends from year 2001 - 2011:

 

 

 

 

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